Juvenile-Railroad
0xb7aed1d805873eec2ae4b00a61f564f6efebac55
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$699.88
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$199.30
$31.30
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 71.2¢·now 92.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$92.90
$21.70
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.75
$0.75
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 70.5¢·now 85.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.60
$7.35
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.40
$7.90
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$3.80
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$27.75
$9.75
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.20
$-2.60
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.20
$-0.60
- YES
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$19.77
$2.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$50.00Jul 14, 14:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $44.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.