Brilliant-Last
0xb7e74385729833767630b92f2f7eec3391fc11a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-599.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 89.4¢·now 87.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$175.54
$-3.50
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
238 shares @ 63.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.45
$15.45
- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
215 shares @ 69.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$143.21
$-6.79
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
185 shares @ 78.6¢·now 73.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$134.90
$-10.25
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
117 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.93
$1.93
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
116 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.42
$-0.58
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.00
$5.00
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
105 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.78
$2.78
- NO
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
104 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.39
$2.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
194 shares @ 77.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.89
$-48.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.