Warm-Nature
0xb84ea4d60a06ee309ae95dddd3109f8a7f5cf92f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$18.26
Total PnL
$-28.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.73
$-2.27
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by April 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.07Jun 12, 18:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$14.93May 28, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $6.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.