Offensive-Macro
0xb86739453ee4a1c5eca0b7efc9e08eb070ea169d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$12.23
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-23.68
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.48
$-9.52
- YES
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2828 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-84.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
451 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-340.16
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Magic
431 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-188.99
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
143 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-83.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9AM ET
107 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Hawks
104 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-67.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5PM ET
101 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$77.84May 2, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $75.84Apr 30, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$38.44Apr 29, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.35Apr 29, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$6.27Apr 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$46.53Apr 27, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Magic$22.00Apr 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Magic$94.21Apr 25, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$20.00Apr 25, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Magic$76.02Apr 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$10.00Apr 25, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $100.00Apr 25, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$31.45Apr 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.00Apr 24, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.70Apr 24, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$4.08Apr 24, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$9.28Apr 24, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $39.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.