Weepy-Charge
0xb8c4d38bafd351a12fdb96c3ed70fa13d29abda6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$722.22
Total PnL
$-253.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
309 shares @ 64.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$251.54
$51.54
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.87
$46.88
- YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
364 shares @ 13.7¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.07
$41.07
- YES
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
147 shares @ 68.1¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$81.52
$-18.48
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
72 shares @ 69.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$54.01
$4.01
- NO
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
53 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$51.12
$1.12
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
452 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$44.97
$-2.33
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
658 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.91
$6.91
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.11
$4.11
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.10
$-14.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$68.85Jul 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$49.01Jul 24, 15:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$49.42Jul 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$20.95Jul 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$50.75Jul 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$50.16Jul 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$25.61Jul 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$26.23Jul 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.33Jul 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$28.81Jul 20, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$121.61Jul 20, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $45.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.