Ringed-Meringue
0xb8f7292818c656fe1e7cb93a2b28f51c8ad17f7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-19.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12?
1215 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 1?
940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 26?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?
557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
207 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$83.08Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$83.00Jun 2, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?$82.08May 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?$82.01May 25, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$82.08May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$82.00May 22, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$82.08May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$82.01May 19, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$81.08May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$81.00May 15, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$82.08May 15, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$2.00May 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$82.00May 7, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$83.08May 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$83.00May 4, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$82.08May 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$82.00May 2, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$82.08May 2, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$82.00Apr 27, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$12.01Apr 27, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $67.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".