Official-Hint
0xb90767d0f01676b4ac8d15b60c1f26d105e2a54a
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$5.95
Total PnL
$-550.19
Realised
$-27.24
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- THUNDER
Lakers vs. Thunder
3 shares @ 64.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.69
$0.97
- ATLANTA BRAVES
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.88
$0.58
- ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Racing Bulls finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$1.32Jul 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$1.01Jun 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Hurricanes$1.02May 4, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$1.01May 2, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$1.11Apr 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$2.06Apr 2, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Clippers$13.78Mar 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Clippers$10.20Mar 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics$10.00Mar 14, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Kings$11.52Mar 13, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$14.12Mar 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors$6.00Mar 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pacers$11.00Mar 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$10.02Mar 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Lakers$10.13Mar 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Thunder$5.10Mar 9, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Heat$10.10Mar 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Bucks$10.11Mar 7, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Lakers$5.00Mar 6, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Spurs$1.00Mar 5, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.