Another-Lack
0xb91fec01a411a9efa569e604b8da1c09d9b26221
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.74
Total PnL
$-32.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Mar 24, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23?$1.00Mar 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$2.25Mar 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?$1.00Mar 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.75–4.00 in March?$1.00Mar 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.00Mar 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose more than 150k jobs in March?$1.00Mar 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giacomo Bovolenta win the 2026 Rovigo by-election?$1.00Mar 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMAntalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Elena Pridankina$0.00Mar 11, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWTT - Women's Singles: Hana Goda vs Yidi Wang$0.00Mar 11, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Ducks vs. Sichuan Blue Whales$0.00Mar 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Kentucky visit?$1.00Mar 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.86Mar 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.97Mar 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$0.91Mar 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$1.00Mar 11, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.