Muffled-Vestment
0xb95b60a222166b60de649b8bd91adc114d7a80ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-144.04
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
114 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.97
$-1.63
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 14?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
643 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
508 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.07Jun 3, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.16Jun 3, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?$1.15Jun 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.03Jun 3, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.03Jun 3, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.07Jun 1, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.05Jun 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07May 31, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07May 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.05May 31, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.07May 31, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.07May 31, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.04May 31, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.22May 30, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.06May 30, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.05May 30, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?$0.76May 30, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 30, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.07May 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.11May 29, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".