0xb961d82da97cbc8f8a4c71e6562bca145e18d074
0xb961d82da97cbc8f8a4c71e6562bca145e18d074
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$48.77
Total PnL
$-81.33
Realised
$8.45
Win rate
97%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Train Dreams - Nick Cave & Bryce Dessner win Best Song at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$5.00
$2.85
- YES
Will FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- NO
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1) - Completed match?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- YES
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$5.00
$3.85
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$5.00
$4.85
- NO
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$1.92
- NO
Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of December 22?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$4.54
$2.77
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Celtics
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$4.43
$3.37
- NO
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$-1.13
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.45
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?$0.15Apr 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LT Overton be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.40Apr 17, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$0.72Apr 3, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?$1.35Apr 2, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$0.20Mar 31, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.20Mar 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Hovde win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?$0.35Mar 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Yan fight Payton Talbott next?$0.35Mar 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.65Mar 7, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.20Mar 5, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.30Mar 3, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.27Mar 2, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$0.13Mar 2, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joel Edgerton win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$0.65Feb 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.50Feb 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessica Williams win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$0.58Feb 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessica Williams win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$0.30Feb 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Holly McCormack win the GA-14 special election?$0.30Feb 21, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?$1.20Feb 18, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.19Feb 17, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".