Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5987.4h
- 12:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 36¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 36¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 36¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 36¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 36¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 36¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 36¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 36¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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