Rude-Cocktail
0xb96acfc14206d34c5e6af826486cd690d6fed5d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.20
Total PnL
$-13.88
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.20
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
102 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.32Mar 1, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.12Mar 1, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.65Feb 25, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.32Feb 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.76Feb 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.74Feb 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the NYSE choose Solana?$1.10Feb 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.05Feb 7, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.44Feb 1, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.35Jan 29, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$0.07Jan 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$0.39Jan 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?$0.99Jan 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.09Jan 27, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.32Jan 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?$1.16Jan 26, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.80Jan 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.10Jan 26, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in January?$1.00Jan 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hirofumi Yoshimura be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.50Jan 26, 05:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $40.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".