Will the NYSE choose Solana?
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$86.63
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 21¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 29.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6012.4h
- 16:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6012h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 18¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 35¢+6.2pp
Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 18¢+0.1pp
Will the NYSE choose Base?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢+7.5pp
Will the NYSE choose a multichain setup?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-15.0pp
Will the NYSE develop its own chain?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the NYSE choose blockchain A?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the NYSE choose blockchain B?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the NYSE choose blockchain C?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will the NYSE choose blockchain D?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $2.1M
- 3¢+0.9pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.2M
- 42¢-10.0pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $339.6K
- 100¢+7.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $321.1K
- 1¢-0.3pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $311.5K
Market Description
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (29.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).