Humiliating-Telephone
0xb9a93729556bac98f01ba5968d7910aba528254e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$30.58
Total PnL
$-85.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 89.9¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.55
$-4.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
103 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
102 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-31.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? $1.22Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$10.57Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 8?$10.04Jul 8, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?$5.31Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.32Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?$5.01Jul 6, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?$1.37Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.99Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.09Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.33Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.01Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$5.83Jun 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$17.35Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.02Jun 30, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.01Jun 30, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 30?$10.02Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$10.00Jun 30, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 30?$10.00Jun 30, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 29?$10.01Jun 29, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 29?$10.00Jun 29, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.