Humiliating-Telephone
0xb9a93729556bac98f01ba5968d7910aba528254e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$123.11
Total PnL
$-71.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
17 shares @ 86.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.64
$1.64
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
6 shares @ 85.8¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 89.9¢·now 41.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.31
$-2.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$30.02Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.00Jun 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$5.03Jun 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.01Jun 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.00Jun 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.00Jun 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.67Jun 15, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.02Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$37.29Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.00Jun 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.06Jun 12, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$10.01Jun 10, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$10.00Jun 10, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.01Jun 9, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.01Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.00Jun 8, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?$5.40Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.04Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?$5.03Jun 6, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5?$20.12Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $17.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.