Thin-Calculation
0xba0d056cd6966f1b8608cc79040d4e0c10191fd0
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$285.95
Total PnL
$-123.65
Realised
$-38.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2502 shares @ 6.2¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$163.88
$9.94
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
66 shares @ 17.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.55
$0.13
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
200 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.70
$-0.90
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.15
$-5.85
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.40
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
300 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0221h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$3.721d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$32.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$8.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$9.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.621d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.601d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$156.551d ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.044d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$2.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$7.804d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$3.774d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.204d ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$9.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".