Remote-Barley
0xba3f7e03c0e9e419c063cc4429d25d6cc73882cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.29
Total PnL
$-117.64
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 73.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 15.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.12
- NO
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
128 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
87 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
77 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
55 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$200.00Jul 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert$3.09Jul 11, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMMap 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)$0.20Jul 11, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$1.94Jul 7, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$4.50Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$2.02Jul 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?$1.00Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?$1.01Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.05Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.44Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.20Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$3.55Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$3.93Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.84Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$4.30Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$4.11Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.33Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.60Jul 1, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.