Noted-Locomotive
0xba4b0479307080c8968172d87f5813597ab38c1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$55.58
Total PnL
$-19.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
39 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
222 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
61 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.19
$-0.31
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$2.29
$-0.21
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
144 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$5.70Jun 23, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?$1.04Jun 23, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$1.04Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.73Jun 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$2.60Jun 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$1.05Jun 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$3.83Jun 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jun 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$4.17Jun 22, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.14Jun 22, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on June 22?$2.08Jun 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.21Jun 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$1.00Jun 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?$1.00Jun 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in June?$2.13Jun 22, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on June 22?$1.04Jun 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on June 22?$1.04Jun 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?$5.19Jun 22, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$2.06Jun 22, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.