Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$481.03
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $481 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 2¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.3pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.4pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.9pp
to 2¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.9pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.9pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.9pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.8pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.8pp
to 0¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the BaAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).