Chief-Neologism
0xba89e5346aaa832e449434f000afb3cbf0add976
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$161.98
Total PnL
$-6.75
Realised
$-5.22
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.60
$8.20
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.50
$5.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.60
$-0.20
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 45.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$13.59
$4.41
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
29 shares @ 54.2¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$9.45
$-6.53
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 83.3¢·now 86.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.69
$0.36
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.90
$-10.70
- YES
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?
24 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$0.36
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.65
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$5.81Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$8.00Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$6.60Jun 13, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?$3.00Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$10.43Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$0.69Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$8.31Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$11.02Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$6.38Jun 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$4.68Jun 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180?$0.58Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.82Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$8.29Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$0.53Jun 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$1.07Jun 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$1.69Jun 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$3.81Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$1.89Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.70Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.