Extraneous-Power
0xbab11b271a193e633be98a1574ec54396b9257ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$357.18
Total PnL
$-80.39
Realised
$190.48
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
509 shares @ 20.7¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.19
$67.62
- CIRYL GANE
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
191 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$94.55
$-4.78
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
914 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.94
$-30.37
- YES
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.10
$4.30
- YES
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
685 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
493 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.33
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
400 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
327 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.10
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
166 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$100.76May 31, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$1.39Apr 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$20.46Apr 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$1.89Apr 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$10.08Apr 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$0.72Apr 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$3.67Apr 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$6.74Apr 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?$4.54Apr 19, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.20Apr 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$44.33Apr 11, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$21.58Apr 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.76Mar 24, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$6.71Mar 23, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$141.99Mar 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$7.00Mar 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$5.56Mar 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.84Mar 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$5.60Mar 23, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$1.00Mar 22, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.