Complicated-Thermometer
0xbab61261c15b53e6a0caa2cd21e0098c725650a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-80.2K
Realised
$931.89
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
37036 shares @ 17.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-4.3K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9920 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$778.72
$-74.40
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
1528 shares @ 62.2¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.65
$-202.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2254 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$259.19
$-529.02
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
404 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.66
$-6.06
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
280 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$95.30
$16.83
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
1610 shares @ 28.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.76
$-425.10
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2051 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.38
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
2348 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.74
$-1.1K
- NO
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$1.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.16Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$19.77Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$876.51Jun 10, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$1.4KJun 10, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$55.00Jun 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$102.73Jun 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$548.64Jun 10, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$27.50Jun 10, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$9.47Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$40.70Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$42.50Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$6.80Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$5.34Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$16.50Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$11.17Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$4.40Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$275.00Jun 10, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $183.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.