Devoted-Bullet
0xbac7b7e224c8770e136c4b563bbfd37a94eb0052
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.34
Total PnL
$-439.17
Realised
$46.55
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.95
$0.43
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?
7 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.84
$0.57
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
7 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.55
$0.42
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET
86 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- BARÇA ESPORTS
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
13 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3?
13 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.06
- NO
Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
8 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 12?
7 shares @ 90.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$6.10Jun 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.49Jun 23, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?$5.61Jun 23, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C$1.06Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: OXEN vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winner$6.08Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 23?$1.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6.10Jun 23, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$6.09Jun 22, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?$5.61Jun 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23?$5.50Jun 22, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?$6.10Jun 22, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?$1.75Jun 22, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?$5.97Jun 22, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group A$3.40Jun 22, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?$5.68Jun 22, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.49Jun 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?$0.31Jun 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?$0.37Jun 22, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.37Jun 22, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?$6.06Jun 22, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.