Failing-Acorn
0xbade8bfffac8f441b44868df8d75b105e341819e
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.23
Total PnL
$-277.48
Realised
$-67.53
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
131 shares @ 7.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.23
$-7.89
- YES
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
198 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-56.65
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
106 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.07
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
47 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.70
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
31 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $15.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.