Difficult-Hardcover
0xbb666776a5b6fde77097a9ddbb8d2d0590b83d0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.45
Realised
$0.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19)
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (April 19)
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)
7 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (April 19)
5 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$1.78May 6, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.67May 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.51May 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.50May 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$9.20May 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$9.09May 4, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$8.21May 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.05May 4, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.42May 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.03May 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$4.12May 4, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.06May 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.24May 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.01May 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.95May 1, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$2.08May 1, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.59Apr 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.25Apr 29, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$1.00Apr 24, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAbidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya$1.33Apr 24, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.