Jealous-Waist
0xbb9ee89a62ec453382db20cfc2c4c55fb68fec5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$154.24
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
195 shares @ 79.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$154.24
$-1.07
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9053 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?
606 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
506 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-59.97
- YES
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
435 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
252 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$156.90Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$153.00May 7, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$100.00Apr 9, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Bucks county?$34.45Nov 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Macomb county?$23.62Nov 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$39.97Nov 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Erie county?$4.41Nov 9, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win Erie county?$28.06Nov 9, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$7.50Nov 9, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$70.88Nov 7, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$157.50Nov 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?$100.31Nov 7, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$99.99Nov 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala flips a 2020 Trump state?$449.99Nov 6, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$69.09Nov 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$32.12Nov 6, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$58.76Nov 6, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$77.14Nov 6, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$45.40Nov 6, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$76.15Nov 6, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $162.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.