Empty-Fixture
0xbbb07a1200a13acde168c4b0637107966cb78d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$3.24
Total PnL
$-165.47
Realised
$-8.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
1940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?
424 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.04May 14, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$1.04May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$1.00May 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$1.00May 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.00May 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$2.08May 14, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?$1.04May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$4.00May 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $44.51May 13, 17:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00Apr 20, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?$2.00Apr 20, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $2.00Apr 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder $3.00Apr 20, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYForsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?$2.00Apr 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$2.00Apr 9, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.