Crazy-Snowman
0xbbbb5a94fea427d2218f54d561b01e30571e1aec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$9.99
Total PnL
$-206.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Walter Rubén Hernández Juárez win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$4.55Jun 11, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 12, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$1.61May 12, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.78May 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.03May 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 6?$1.05May 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$1.01May 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$1.02May 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$3.04May 5, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$1.01May 5, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$1.02May 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.03May 5, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-25?$1.59Apr 28, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)$2.00Apr 28, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill AD Cali win on 2026-04-25?$2.46Apr 28, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.