Jolly-Min
0xbbd2c54de2ef3c337b5a9b221a54981ba22d9b1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-432.62
Realised
$-74.25
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11954 shares @ 10.6¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$242.00
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
1510 shares @ 64.6¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$921.09
$-54.70
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
800 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$799.99
$256.00
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
469 shares @ 59.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$286.02
$5.04
- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
1070 shares @ 33.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$133.71
$-219.29
- YES
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.82
$-1.18
- YES
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
8717 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-384.69
- YES
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
671 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-194.46
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$193.05Jul 12, 02:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $73.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.