Modest-Likeness
0xbc1775a8bc4dda029c04bc4976c5612430f6289a
Quality score
85/100
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-596.26
Realised
$-12.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17567 shares @ 27.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$630.13
- YES
Blue tsunami in 2026?
1440 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$756.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
750 shares @ 66.6¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$532.49
$33.24
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
480 shares @ 41.5¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$192.00
$-7.39
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1110 shares @ 17.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$188.70
$-10.32
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
330 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$186.42
$-14.88
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
725 shares @ 27.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$177.63
$-23.83
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
3325 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$103.08
$-29.48
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3183 shares @ 15.7¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$85.94
$-414.99
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
173 shares @ 33.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$56.14
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.1K4d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$491.507d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$489.957d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$976.838d ago
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$979.688d ago
- YIELD$0.068d ago
- YIELD$0.089d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.3K10d ago
- YIELD$0.0910d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$132.5610d ago
- YIELD$0.1011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.3511d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$46.9011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.4211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.1011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.6011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.0411d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.5211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$29.5911d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.8011d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $194.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 4d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.