Internal-Bronchitis
0xbc1d852f66a088e33f3c3543c6cc84e7acb9966d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$9.54
Total PnL
$-82.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.08
$0.08
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$2.00Jul 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$1.01Jul 30, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.52Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23?$1.06Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.03Jul 16, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jul 16, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.22Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?$2.56Jul 15, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.85Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.02Jul 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.02Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.03Jul 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.02Jul 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.03Jul 13, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$10.13Jul 10, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$6.45Jul 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$2.03Jul 9, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.