Near-Arthur
0xbc2742d02b068a5039273d57f7f4f4a92811cf52
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-207.94
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
2373 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1538 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-999.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?
1478 shares @ 91.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- SMU MUSTANGS
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
1001 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-720.72
- NO
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?
448 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-380.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
229 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-141.99
- DUCKS
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
156 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$166.05May 4, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$159.90May 3, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$26.21May 3, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$35.51May 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$25.53May 3, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$105.37May 2, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$25.31May 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$12.98May 1, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$25.77May 1, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$25.58May 1, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$25.77May 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$25.05May 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$25.05May 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$100.20May 1, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$460.20May 1, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$454.18Apr 28, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$31.60Apr 28, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$363.61Apr 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$58.98Apr 27, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?$358.16Apr 27, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $61.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.