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CryptoExpires Apr 27, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?

Probability

85¢

1h

+3.0pp

24h

+6.0pp

24h Vol

$1.8K

Liquidity

$25.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 6pp over 24h

    Now 85¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 49h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 49h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 49 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 49.4h

    HIGH
  • 14:35Signal

    Signal · Momentum up

    Probability moved up 6.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 49h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 34.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).