Nocturnal-Apology
0xbc4b83153529b71fa81b14e9420eda054f01c3a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.69
Total PnL
$0.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.17
$1.17
- ENGLAND
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- GAMERLEGION
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- SALAVAT YULAEV UFA
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirsk
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- WW TEAM
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group C
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- LEHECKA
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirsk$1.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan$1.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: WW Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group C$1.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs$1.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2$1.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2$1.00Feb 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka$1.00Feb 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Tennis Championships: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby$1.00Feb 24, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Nov 12, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$1.00Oct 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.11Oct 22, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$1.11Oct 22, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 15 at 5PM ET?$1.75Oct 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 6, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Aug 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4600 on August 15 at 5PM ET?$1.00Aug 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?$1.00Aug 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 14, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".