Sneaky-Juice
0xbc54e69667ceb6ccec538e5a0ba1927fc1fe680f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$8.7K
Total PnL
$455.18
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
79%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3997 shares @ 72.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$127.20
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 81.6¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.1K
$-93.50
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 81.6¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$752.40
$-63.60
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
771 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$750.01
$65.69
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
400 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$383.40
$16.58
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 15.3¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$233.00
$-73.00
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
295 shares @ 69.6¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.73
$7.17
- NO
Will Trump resign before 2027?
169 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.32
$5.61
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
820 shares @ 23.4¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$158.70
$-33.22
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
146 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.92
$9.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$17.80Jul 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.03Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.03Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.60Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.90Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.82Jul 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$15.67Jul 29, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$30.62Jul 29, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.18Jul 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 29, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 29, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
61 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.