Glistening-Outrigger
0xbc70c9297e36dbcf2a4b07e0ee1c9c10c44950c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-199.53
Realised
$230.20
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?
776 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$776.00
$395.76
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
342 shares @ 60.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$261.63
$56.43
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
130 shares @ 73.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$126.49
$31.59
- NO
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$10.71
$-0.35
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$3.50
- NO
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.00
$0.77
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- YES
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
1 shares @ 3.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.00
$0.97
- YES
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
1 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.00
$0.78
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
1090 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-239.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$166.40Apr 27, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$400.44Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$119.68Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$37.00Apr 23, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$91.00Apr 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$112.64Apr 23, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$448.24Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$40.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$198.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$318.50Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$326.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5$373.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$436.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$502.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMNancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$673.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)$989.00Apr 15, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?$1.1KApr 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,000 and 6,500?$380.24Apr 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)$346.15Mar 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$47.26Mar 16, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $141.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".