Incomparable-Dad
0xbc8bf8906d4f391ece5208e27c43327b9ec6b15e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$79.90
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$32.23
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
35 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.28
$0.89
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
892 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.37
$-227.37
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$-5.70
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
550 shares @ 40.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.78
$-215.72
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
36 shares @ 18.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.70
$-3.84
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
323 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.10
$1.13
- YES
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.44
- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
356 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-145.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$16.67Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.28Jun 12, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?$11.76Jun 1, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.19May 30, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$20.50May 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$30.50May 30, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$30.97May 30, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$30.89May 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?$0.07May 30, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$35.49May 30, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$23.04May 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?$1.14May 30, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?$81.30May 30, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?$10.44May 29, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?$10.07May 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?$10.45May 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 28?$10.85May 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$48.06May 29, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?$59.09May 28, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.