Vague-Hiking
0xbc90ef7035c5e90d7bcec6e51fa50bb963940135
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$23.10
Total PnL
$26.78
Realised
$34.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- HAMBURGER SV
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$20.99
$1.46
- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
2 shares @ 3.2¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.12
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?
96 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
2 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)$19.531d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?$3.0553d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?$3.1153d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?$7.3553d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4K53d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.4K53d ago
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.4K53d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.3K53d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$116.0453d ago
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$60.6653d ago
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$51.8253d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$67.6953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$48.0953d ago
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$28.6653d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.1553d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$22.1053d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$153.5953d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$1.3K53d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$1.4K53d ago
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$46.4353d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $415.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
