Identical-Denim
0xbca2947b05034df1349ba6c08745f8929227d884
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$62.94
Total PnL
$-316.40
Realised
$-2.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$46.39
$-3.61
- YES
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.37
$-1.63
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.35
$-0.65
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.72
$-3.28
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.78
$-4.22
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1237 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
755 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
468 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-72.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00Jun 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.19Jun 10, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?$10.45Jun 10, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.20Jun 5, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$3.14May 31, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$5.23May 31, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$52.27May 31, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$602.11May 31, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$31.01May 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$4.57May 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$102.19May 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$32.97May 21, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$21.40May 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.33May 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$0.09May 20, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$48.76May 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$30.95May 16, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$25.88May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$5.00May 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 14, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.