Joyous-Lottery
0xbcb30a885832d451372caf3a0771877383909a5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$11.5K
Total PnL
$-692.05
Realised
$-51.17
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
5088 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.0K
$-49.70
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
2625 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.5K
$-2.44
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
1750 shares @ 88.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$47.97
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13249 shares @ 7.7¢·now 9.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.3K
$234.01
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4900 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$124.46
$-86.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.69
$12.69
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.59
$0.59
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$100.54
$0.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.15
$0.15
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
102 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$100.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.80May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 16, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$45.80May 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.50May 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.50May 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.40May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.40May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.40May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.40May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$92.80May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$93.30May 16, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$770.64May 16, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.80May 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$10.01May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 01:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.17May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.30May 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$720.17May 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$720.23May 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$70.00May 15, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $420.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".