High-Talk
0xbcb34e8149fdb4b1168d2c8479ad92448d6d8ec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.92
Total PnL
$-11.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.28
$1.28
- HURRICANES
Lightning vs. Hurricanes
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- PENGUINS
Devils vs. Penguins
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Senators$1.00Feb 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Hurricanes$1.00Feb 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDevils vs. Penguins$1.00Feb 26, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$1.00Feb 26, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.38Feb 26, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 5, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jan 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.13Jan 5, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.33Jan 5, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$1.00Oct 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Raptors$1.00Oct 6, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Golding be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?$1.00Aug 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$1.00Aug 18, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.