Muffled-Catalogue
0xbcceb719ae5372be1b31ef16d068625350c52fed
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$104.18
Total PnL
$-48.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
147 shares @ 51.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$72.64
$-2.36
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.18
$8.18
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
3 shares @ 74.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.68
$0.68
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-3.68
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
250 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?
52 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
5 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.00Mar 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$8.00Mar 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$2.00Mar 16, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 16, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$0.00Mar 16, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$0.00Mar 16, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$0.00Mar 16, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Lost Bus win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Lost Bus win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.52Mar 16, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?$5.71Mar 16, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.