Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?
Probability
13¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$130.81
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 13¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1085h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1084.8h
- 19:12SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1085h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.
Biggest hourly move: +9.0pp at 2d ago (to 17¢).
Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
- 16:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 15:00 · -5.5pp → 12¢
- 13:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
- 12:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
- 10:00 · -6.0pp → 9¢
- 09:00 · -4.0pp → 10¢
- 08:00 · -8.5pp → 10¢
- 06:00 · -8.0pp → 10¢
- 05:00 · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 03:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
- 02:00 · -7.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +7.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 18¢
- 4d ago · -4.5pp → 12¢
- 4d ago · -5.0pp → 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether Wrexham A.F.C. will be promoted to the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current English football league season. If Wrexham is officially promoted to the EPL for the 2026–27 season, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Official promotion means Wrexham has secured a place in the EPL for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the English Football League (EFL) and the Premier League. If this season is canceled or not completed by July 1, 2026, with no official promotion decisions made for the 2026–27 season, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Premier League and the English Football League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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