Frilly-Hardware
0xbcf1a0485c868500be1cdce60bfc16f326877008
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$275.86
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3002 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.11
$-105.08
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
21648 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.42
$-369.56
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
667 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
68841 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-528.63
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
220 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$400.00May 1, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$60.19May 1, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$180.00May 1, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$60.00May 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$67.00May 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.99Apr 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$76.21Apr 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$300.00Apr 7, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$115.00Apr 7, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$5.65Apr 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$240.65Apr 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Apr 5, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 5, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$19.00Apr 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$11.00Apr 4, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$7.25Apr 1, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$15.00Apr 1, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $48.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".