Unusual-Retrospective
0xbd3c18027b5f4b45e608ba121a8f97e15b348ceb
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.02
Total PnL
$1.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
86 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.01
$1.01
- YES
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 73.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- CAVALIERS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 15, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$0.00May 14, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$0.00May 14, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-10?$0.00May 14, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$0.00May 14, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.03May 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Penta Kill?$1.03May 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.01May 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 13, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.67May 13, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$1.92May 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.02May 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.96May 10, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-10?$1.02May 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 10, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".