0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
Quality score
87/100
Open positions
75
Open notional
$826.88
Total PnL
$-139.63
Realised
$25.89
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
204 shares @ 36.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.90
$-22.01
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
47 shares @ 56.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.95
$7.70
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
56 shares @ 71.6¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.95
$-7.05
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
52 shares @ 38.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.62
$9.62
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
29 shares @ 85.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.32
$0.32
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
27 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.06
$0.06
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 86.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.33
$-1.67
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
135 shares @ 25.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.33
$-12.67
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
47 shares @ 52.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$21.88
$-3.02
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.29
$1.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$5.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$5.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$5.0012h ago
- YIELD$0.0119h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$5.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$8.002d ago
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$11.052d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$18.252d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$11.094d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$12.274d ago
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$5.744d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?$6.604d ago
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 20?$6.784d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$1.994d ago
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$8.174d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$28.136d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.