Triangular-Bathrobe
0xbd9ea7374d0bd2c911752c7bcd151fcb222e3723
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$764.68
Total PnL
$-236.89
Realised
$-10.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
554 shares @ 55.9¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$492.66
$182.66
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
230 shares @ 69.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$230.39
$70.39
- YES
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
57 shares @ 69.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$41.64
$1.64
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
1085 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will no one drop out first?
524 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
373 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
169 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
35 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
29 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$315.47May 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$239.65May 11, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$1.0KApr 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$900.00Apr 21, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?$2.0KApr 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$50.00Apr 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.00Apr 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.00Apr 10, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$50.00Apr 10, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$260.00Apr 10, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$8.03Mar 8, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$40.00Mar 5, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.12Mar 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$0.01Mar 4, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?$0.61Mar 4, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$28.77Mar 4, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$20.00Mar 4, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$30.00Mar 4, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$30.00Mar 4, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$30.00Mar 4, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $172.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.