Youthful-Lumber
0xbdbd9dd379c2f356cb5348969bdc737128268d71
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-4.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
1555 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$128.58
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1538 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$623.08
$23.08
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1538 shares @ 41.7¢·now 28.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$440.61
$-200.33
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
5887 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
3315 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-560.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
2940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2052 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
1500 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-674.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$166.29May 19, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$174.92May 19, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$187.27May 19, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$227.27May 19, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$586.43May 19, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.8KMay 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$140.89May 5, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$401.42May 5, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$1.0KMay 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$40.95Apr 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$600.00Apr 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$600.00Apr 15, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$552.81Apr 14, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$344.32Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$345.29Apr 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.6KApr 13, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.5KApr 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$88.01Apr 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$57.50Apr 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$300.00Apr 12, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $377.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".