Rusty-Writing
0xbdd2bbcbf179cf9b0062b747fbc17755b9b00bd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$68.6K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-430.23
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17662 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.5K
$312.59
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
17014 shares @ 89.9¢·now 80.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.7K
$-1.6K
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
9866 shares @ 85.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$578.54
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
8578 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.9K
$-73.59
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
9186 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$230.89
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7025 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$17.08
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
2083 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$115.10
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-7.50
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
1500 shares @ 83.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.3K
$-2.50
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$432.50
$12.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.58Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.38Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$9.20Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$36.8KJun 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$369.35Jun 12, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$895.28Jun 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$13.1KJun 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$150.26Jun 12, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4.6KJun 12, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.5KJun 12, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.8KJun 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.0KJun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.5KJun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.0KJun 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.0KJun 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.0KJun 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.0KJun 12, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 12, 10:10 UTC → Jun 12, 10:03 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7.5K@61¢Jun 12, 10:03 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.5K
1 trades
30d volume
$7.5K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
$7.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.