Burdensome-Victim-Zombie
0xbdded7909f0c7810aecf89ed8a17009866d0e54a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$172.57
Total PnL
$15.82
Realised
$-1.88
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.18
$11.18
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.16
$12.16
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 23.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.31
$7.87
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.09
$5.09
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.91
$2.95
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
8 shares @ 37.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.57
$3.57
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$1.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.