0xbe3ba6571acdcd170e4b944f3159e7420ea6fbdd
0xbe3ba6571acdcd170e4b944f3159e7420ea6fbdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$396.28
Total PnL
$-4.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
14 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.54
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.27
$0.02
- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.95
$0.15
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
15 shares @ 65.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.19
$0.14
- NO
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.66
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.33Jun 20, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.07Jun 20, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.27Jun 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.26Jun 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.56Jun 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$3.60Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$3.60Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$4.99Jun 20, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 11:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.